3515 Don Carlos Drive
Atop 10%Carlsbad, CA 92010Neighborhood: Rancho Carlsbad / Sunny Creek
Pass at asking: -$1,725/mo full cashflow at 20% down, 7.36% rate.
Works at $273,328 (45% under asking), or at 71% down.
Rent $3,343/mo: zip market median for this bed count.
Beds
3
Baths
2
Sqft
1,344
Year Built
1987
Days on Market
0
Property Type
Manufactured
HOA/mo
$485
MLS ID
NDP2610228
This property is in Carlsbad (92010). View neighborhood stats →
About This Property
Rancho Carlsbad, a highly sought-after 55+ guard gated community on owned-land and minutes from Carlsbad’s shopping, dining, and beaches. This single-story 3-bedroom home is priced for cosmetic updates, giving you the opportunity to make it your own. The living area features vaulted ceilings accented by a wood beam with a large patio located just off the front entry. The generous sized primary bedroom features a walk-in closet and en-suite bathroom with an additional linen closet. The laundry room is conveniently situated next to the long carport, which offers plenty of parking, and a detached storage shed provides additional storage. Low-maintenance landscaping makes outdoor upkeep easy. Recent improvements include a replaced furnace (2025) and water heater (2020). Rancho Carlsbad’s $485/month HOA includes a patrolled gatehouse, clubhouse and rec building, pool and spa, multi-purpose room, tennis and pickleball courts, bocce ball court, dog park, community gardens, and an RV lot. Located adjacent to the Rancho Carlsbad 18-hole golf course and right off El Camino Real with daily conveniences nearby. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all in MLS prior to COE.
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Est. Monthly Payment
$3,883
Location
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Zoned Schools
Elementary
Hope Elementary · grades K-5 · Carlsbad Unified
Middle
Calavera Hills Middle · grades 6-8 · Carlsbad Unified
High
Sage Creek High · grades 9-12 · Carlsbad Unified
or Carlsbad High · grades 9-12 · Carlsbad Unified
Choice area: the district lets families here pick either school.
The district's assigned schools for this parcel, from its attendance boundaries and rules. Boundaries change: confirm with the district before you buy.
Renovation math
Flagged Light Value-Add from the listing remarks — “cosmetic updates”, “make it your own”.
- Asking now
- $499K
- Worth finished
- $600K
- Budget to renovate
- $100,603
$371/sqft
$446/sqft × 1,344 sqft
$75/sqft to spend
Comparable finished homes nearby suggest this is worth $600K once it's brought to par — about $100,603 above the asking price. That spread is your renovation budget before the deal stops working.
Rent once renovated
- Rent at par
- $2,433/mo
- Cashflow at that rent
- −$2,426/mo
$1.81/sqft × 1,344 sqft, median of 5 comps
cap rate 1.08%, DSCR 0.63
Heads up: the rent estimate elsewhere on this page ($3,343/mo) is above what comparable finished homes here support. A home that needs work does not out-rent them, so treat $2,433/mo as the ceiling.
Buying at asking and achieving par rent, excluding the renovation spend itself. We don't publish a current-condition rent: no listing remark says how much work a home needs, and mid-renovation it earns nothing.
Based on 5 comparable homes of the same property type and size currently listed nearby — asking prices and modelled rents, not closed sales. A contractor's scope, not this page, decides what a renovation actually costs.
Comparable Properties
5 comps foundThis Property
$3,343
Comp Average
$2,942
2702 Via Plato
3bd / 2ba · 1,104 sqft · Single Family
$725K
Est. $3,756/mo
3490 Don Alberto Drive
2bd / 2ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured
$561K
Est. $2,739/mo
3471 Don Lorenzo Drive
2bd / 2ba · 1,464 sqft · Manufactured
$599K
Est. $2,739/mo
3438 Don Alberto Drive
2bd / 2ba · 1,513 sqft · Manufactured
$675K
Est. $2,739/mo
3449 Don Arturo Drive
2bd / 2ba · 1,564 sqft · Manufactured
$699K
Est. $2,739/mo
Comps based on same zip code, similar beds (±1), price range (60-150%).
Investment Score
Zip market median for this bed count
Thin data: no closed leases like this one nearby.
Rent − PITIA
Incl. vacancy, PM, maint, capex
What would make this work?
$1,725/mo short at 20% down; 71% down or +$2,240/mo rent closes it.
- Break-even price
- $273,328
- Break-even rent
- $5,583/mo
- Cashflow at 35% down
- −$1,209/mo
- Down payment to break even
- 71%
- Rate to break even
- Not reachable
45% under asking
$2,240/mo above the estimate
$354,290 cash
Negative even at a 0% loan
Need ≥ 1.25 for DSCR loan
Lower = better for investors
* Modelled at 20% down, 7.36% rate, 30yr · vacancy 8% · PM 10% · capex 5% · maintenance 1%/yr.
Estimates only. Not financial advice. Verify all figures independently with a licensed professional before making any investment decision.
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