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16512 Wilderness Rd
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16512 Wilderness Rd

Dbottom 20%

Poway, CA 92064

$1,840,000
STR unclear · Poway: confirm with the city

Pass at asking: -$10,203/mo full cashflow at 20% down, 7.43% rate.

Works at $511,630 (72% under asking), or at all cash.

Rent $5,103/mo from 12 leases of houses within 2 mi, size-adjusted ($4,298–$5,278).

Beds

4

Baths

2

Sqft

2,232

Year Built

1979

Days on Market

105

Property Type

Single Family

HOA/mo

N/A

MLS ID

260018196SD

This property is in Poway (92064). View neighborhood stats →

Virtual Tour

About This Property

Organic Architecture in Poway: For the La Chappelle family, architect Robert Thiele crafted an amazing home in adobe, wood and glass with strong connection to its surrounding landscape including an amazing granite boulder field. The deep scalloped eaves extends the roof into the 1-acre parcel at the end of a cul-de-sac. Arrival is a spectacular journey -- as you travel through organic forms of adobe, carved wood and stained glass by artist James Hubbell, you enter the home's circular living room anchored by a sculpted fireplace. Kitchen, bedrooms and baths radiate off the living area where you encounter built-in works by ceramist Rhoda Lopez. Come experience organic architecture in a splendid setting.

Mortgage Calculator

Est. Monthly Payment

$12,599

Principal & Interest$10,222
Property Tax$1,840
Insurance$537
%($368,000)
%
Loan Term

Location

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Zoned Schools

  • Elementary

    Painted Rock Elementary · grades K-5 · Poway Unified

  • Middle

    Twin Peaks Middle · grades 6-8 · Poway Unified

  • High

    Poway High · grades 9-12 · Poway Unified

The district's assigned schools for this parcel, from its attendance boundaries and rules. Boundaries change: confirm with the district before you buy.

Comparable Properties

5 comps found

This Property

$5,103

vs

Comp Average

$4,816

13145 Carriage Road

13145 Carriage Road

4bd / 3ba · 2,011 sqft · Single Family

$1.15M

Est. $4,958/mo

14306 Sladon

14306 Sladon

4bd / 2.5ba · 2,085 sqft · Single Family

$1.30M

Est. $4,700/mo

17036 Iron Mountain

17036 Iron Mountain

3bd / 2ba · 2,195 sqft · Single Family

$1.30M

Est. $4,492/mo

12740 Boxwood Ct

12740 Boxwood Ct

4bd / 2.5ba · 2,300 sqft · Single Family

$1.56M

Est. $5,036/mo

17233 Cloudcroft Drive

17233 Cloudcroft Drive

4bd / 2ba · 2,040 sqft · Single Family

$1.60M

Est. $4,895/mo

Comps based on same zip code, similar beds (±1), price range (60-150%).

Investment Score

2D
Est. Monthly Rent
$5,103

12 leases of houses within 2 mi, size-adjusted · $4,298–$5,278

Blended 50/50 with a property-level estimate

Monthly Cashflow

Rent − PITIA

-$7,496
Full Cashflow

Incl. vacancy, PM, maint, capex

-$10,203

What would make this work?

$10,203/mo short at 20% down; 100% down or +$13,251/mo rent closes it.

Break-even price

72% under asking

$511,630
Break-even rent

$13,251/mo above the estimate

$18,354/mo
Cashflow at 35% down
−$8,286/mo
Down payment to break even

$1,840,000 cash

100%
Rate to break even

Negative even at a 0% loan

Not reachable
Mortgage (P+I)
$10,222
Cap Rate
0.18%
Cash-on-Cash
-33.27%
DSCR

Need ≥ 1.25 for DSCR loan

0.41
NOI (Annual)
$3,290
Price-to-Rent

Lower = better for investors

30.0

* Modelled at 20% down, 7.43% rate, 30yr · vacancy 8% · PM 10% · capex 5% · maintenance 1%/yr.

Estimates only. Not financial advice. Verify all figures independently with a licensed professional before making any investment decision.

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DCashflow−$10,203/mo